Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.386199 0.451290 0.524281 0.612259 0.715524 0.833010 0.976995
2024-12-22 0.283630 0.368190 0.473680 0.615261 0.800831 1.036503 1.359711
2024-12-29 0.232969 0.324967 0.448433 0.626890 0.879379 1.225572 1.739301
2025-01-05 0.191991 0.283745 0.414347 0.614789 0.916561 1.356997 2.054210
2025-01-12 0.163501 0.253957 0.389407 0.608361 0.956255 1.492374 2.390361
2025-01-19 0.143574 0.233119 0.373416 0.611001 1.007232 1.648502 2.778915
2025-01-26 0.133364 0.225598 0.376287 0.642725 1.107550 1.895006 3.351087
2025-02-02 0.124333 0.218423 0.378209 0.672250 1.207148 2.152675 3.980855
2025-02-09 0.114958 0.209152 0.374958 0.691638 1.290628 2.392362 4.613563
2025-02-16 0.105014 0.197389 0.365522 0.697994 1.350221 2.595409 5.206530
2025-02-23 0.095035 0.184165 0.351552 0.693520 1.387807 2.760666 5.748543
2025-03-02 0.084483 0.168444 0.330804 0.672782 1.389808 2.855181 6.158044
2025-03-09 0.079720 0.163760 0.331336 0.695813 1.486365 3.159229 7.072005
2025-03-16 0.073324 0.154964 0.322589 0.698524 1.540832 3.383726 7.850446
2025-03-23 0.068643 0.149113 0.319083 0.711790 1.619870 3.672291 8.822725
2025-03-30 0.062201 0.138617 0.304338 0.697998 1.635505 3.819864 9.482968
2025-04-06 0.057005 0.130224 0.293126 0.690672 1.664992 4.003458 10.262311
2025-04-13 0.053107 0.124298 0.286707 0.693681 1.719634 4.254972 11.257362
2025-04-20 0.051765 0.124175 0.293626 0.729839 1.861563 4.742882 12.960806
2025-04-27 0.050290 0.123542 0.299239 0.763499 2.002076 5.248173 14.801156
2025-05-04 0.048207 0.121151 0.300279 0.785605 2.115531 5.699507 16.570010
2025-05-11 0.045477 0.116789 0.295886 0.792852 2.189962 6.056674 18.128938
2025-05-18 0.042363 0.111061 0.287332 0.787750 2.229459 6.322898 19.463226